March 18, 2021

Northwest FCS News

Meeting Date:  March 16-17, 2021

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Results

This meeting was a virtual  meeting

Fed pledges to use full range of tools to assist the economy. Fed does not change rates - keeps interest rate range at 0.0% - 0.25%.

Fed claims that the COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world and warns of additional economic and financial harm that the virus might cause.

Federal Reserve will continue to increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $80 billion per month and of agency mortgage-backed securities by at least  $40 billion per month until substantial further progress has been made toward the Committee's maximum employment and price stability goals.

Fed issues new economic projections and a brand new dot plot!

 

 Economic Highlights:
The Federal Reserve pledges to do everything in its power to assist the economy.
  • "The COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world. 
  • Following a moderation in the pace of the recovery, indicators of economic activity and employment have turned up recently, although the sectors most adversely affected by the pandemic remain weak.
  • Inflation continues to run below 2 percent. Overall financial conditions remain accommodative, in part reflecting policy measures to support the economy and the flow of credit to U.S. households and businesses. 
  • The path of the economy will depend significantly on the course of the virus, including progress on vaccinations. The ongoing public health crisis continues to weigh on economic activity, employment, and inflation, and poses considerable risks to the economic outlook.”

Announcements
Fed funds rate unchanged. Fed funds range remains at 0.0% -0.25%. Fed pledges more bond buying if necessary. 
  • “The Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and expects it will be appropriate to maintain this target range until labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with the Committee's assessments of maximum employment and inflation has risen to 2 percent and is on track to moderately exceed 2 percent for some time. 
  • The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. With inflation running persistently below this longer-run goal, the Committee will aim to achieve inflation moderately above 2 percent for some time so that inflation averages 2 percent over time and longer term inflation expectations remain well anchored at 2 percent. The Committee expects to maintain an accommodative stance of monetary policy until these outcomes are achieved.
  • In addition, the Federal Reserve will continue to increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $80 billion per month and of agency mortgage backed securities by at least $40 billion per month until substantial further progress has been made toward the Committee's maximum employment and price stability goals.
  • These asset purchases help foster smooth market functioning and accommodative financial conditions, thereby supporting the flow of credit to households and businesses.
  • The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on public health, labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.”
  • The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System voted unanimously to maintain the interest rate paid on required and excess reserve balances at 0.10 percent, effective March 18, 2021.
 
Fed's New Economic Projections: 
The FOMC's most recent Economic Projections for 2021 are more optimistic than those from the previous forecast. 

 

Fed Forecast Changes from December 2020 to March 2021

 
 
Fed's New Dot Plot:
No  rate hikes in 2021, but a few FOMC members expect to see higher rates in 2022-2023!

 

March 2021 Dot Plot

Voting Results
No dissenting votes

 Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Thomas I. Barkin; Raphael W. Bostic; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; Richard H. Clarida; Mary C. Daly; Charles L. Evans; Randal K. Quarles; and Christopher J. Waller.  

 
Next Meeting:  April 27-28, 2021

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The preceding information contains excerpts from an official published statement on the Federal Open Market Committee’s January, 2021 meeting.  For full text, please visit the Federal Reserve website.